FORECASTING BUILT ON GLOBAL NEWS, GEOPOLITICAL UPDATES & SUPPLY CHAIN SIGNALS

The difference is not the prediction model, but the translation of real-world events into causally calibrated, position-specific price signals. Every forecast comes with a verifiable track record.
A five-model baseline ensemble reads the price history, a causal event layer turns news into weighted signals, and integration fuses both onto the specific grade and position. A rolling forecast history keeps every projection on record against the realized price.
Your context, built in. Event signals are combined with baseline forecasts and your specific business assumptions — so projections reflect both statistical patterns and the developments that actually matter to your positions.
Classic models rely on pure time series or a handful of manual variables, and data terminals deliver prices and news without causal models or confidence-banded forecasts. DSA closes the gap: each news item becomes a modelable, evidence-backed signal tied to real price movements.

An ensemble of specialised time-series models learns historical price patterns, seasonal effects, and market structure. Together they form the quantitative core of every forecast. A rolling forecast history keeps every past prediction on record, so you can check what was forecast against what the market actually did.
An NLP layer continuously scans global news, policy shifts, and supply-chain signals and turns each one into a structured event. A causal engine then measures the real price impact of that event per horizon, controlling for trend and volatility, so only genuine effects enter the forecast as numerical inputs.
Event signals and baseline forecasts are combined through a horizon-weighted meta-learner, so each projection reflects both statistical patterns and the developments that actually move prices. Business assumptions can be set to match the specific grade, price basis, and open positions, so the forecast maps to real exposure instead of a generic market index.
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